Major meteorological organizations have released long-range summer forecasts for Arizona, predicting higher-than-average temperatures and increased precipitation from June through August 2026.
AccuWeather, the National Weather Service, and The Old Farmer's Almanac all indicate the state will experience a warmer summer, following a record-setting start to the year when temperatures first reached 100 degrees on March 18.
>>> Salman Khan Attends Funeral of Longtime Friend Kumod Raney in Mumbai
Temperature and Precipitation Outlook
According to AccuWeather, northern, northwestern, and southwestern parts of Arizona will see temperatures 1 to 2 degrees above historical averages.
Peak summer heat is expected to arrive early in June or July.
Nearly the entire state can expect 150% of normal precipitation, which is projected to improve ongoing drought conditions except in the northeast corner.
The southwestern quarter of Arizona faces a flooding risk, while the rest of the state remains under a moderate risk.
The National Weather Service reports a 40% to 50% probability of above-normal temperatures for most of Arizona, increasing to a 50% to 60% probability in the northwest corner near Beaver Dam and the Nevada state line.
>>> Jake Paul Shares Video of Calves Roaming Inside Private Jet
The agency also projects a rainy summer, estimating a 33% to 40% above-normal probability of rain across most of the state, rising to a 40% to 50% probability in the northeast corner.
The Old Farmer's Almanac presents a divided outlook, predicting a hot and wet season for the northeast, central, and eastern portions of Arizona, contrasted with a hot and dry season for the southwest and northwest regions.
Forecasting Methods
To generate these long-range outlooks, AccuWeather processes a 30-year global database of historical trends combined with meteorological insight.
The National Weather Service utilizes airborne and ground-based satellites paired with computer-driven statistical models.
>>> Rosie O'Donnell Attends Tony Awards Amid Citizenship Concerns
The Old Farmer's Almanac uses an alternative forecasting method that relies heavily on tracking magnetic storms on the surface of the sun known as sunspots.
